According to a new Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll poll that was provided on Friday exclusively to The Hill, former President Trump leads both President Biden and Vice President Harris in possible match-ups for the election of 2024.
If the election for 2024 were held today, 46 percent of those surveyed said they would vote for Trump over Biden, compared to the 41 percent who said they would back the president. Thirteen percent of people either didn’t know or weren’t sure.
In a hypothetical matchup between the two candidates for president in 2024, a larger share of respondents (49%) said they would vote for Trump, while only 39% said they would vote for Harris. Thirteen percent of people either didn’t know or weren’t sure.
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According to the results of the poll, Trump maintains his position as the clear front-runner among the other Republican candidates. In a made-up primary with eight candidates, 37 percent of respondents said they would vote for Donald Trump, while only 19 percent said they would support Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R), whose support has decreased since earlier polls.
Nikki Haley, the second significant Republican to officially begin a presidential candidacy and the first to oppose Trump, has garnered the support of seven percent of likely voters. Haley is the former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations. The poll indicated that following what many people regarded to be a successful presidential campaign debut this week, Haley did gain some momentum, jumping to third place in a prospective GOP primary that does not include Trump.
In January, a survey conducted by Harvard University’s CAPS and Harris Poll revealed that support for Haley in a hypothetical primary was only 3%.
While the Republican presidential primary is likely to be crowded, Democrats are coming together around a campaign for Biden to run again. Talks within the party about who should replace the president in 2024 are slowing down.
After Biden’s State of the Union speech, his approval rating stayed at 42%, where it has been for most of his time in office. The president got some good marks for standing up to the Republicans who heckled him during his speech and for talking about Social Security and Medicare, but voters were split 50-50 on whether or not they liked the speech.
On February 15 and 16, 1,838 registered voters took part in the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll. The Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and the Harris Poll worked together on it.
The survey is an online sample taken from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographics. It does not give a probability confidence interval because it is an online sample that is meant to be representative.
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